This 1 Number Says Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin Sales Are About to End

Bitcoin treasury companies built their entire investment case on one promise: buy and hold, forever. Strategy (NASDAQ:MSTR | MSTR Price Prediction) was the company that made that thesis famous — and lately, the company that’s been quietly breaking it.

Selling bitcoin used to be unthinkable for Michael Saylor’s firm. Now it’s routine. But the numbers behind those sales suggest the selling spree may be closer to its end than its beginning.

From Bitcoin Treasury to Digital Credit

Saylor no longer describes Strategy as a “bitcoin treasury company.” He’s rebranded the model as a Digital Credit Framework — an operating and capital structure built to support debt and preferred-stock obligations using Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) as the underlying collateral, rather than simply stockpiling it for shareholders. That distinction matters, because it explains behavior that looks contradictory on the surface: a company famous for buying bitcoin is now selling it to keep other financial obligations current.

The clearest example is Strategy’s preferred stock. The Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock‘s (NASDAQ:STRC) dividends are funded through the company’s USD Reserve, and maintaining that reserve has become priority one. Last week, Strategy sold 1,638 bitcoin to raise $104.7 million specifically to bolster that reserve. Building long-term value for Strategy’s common shareholders — once the entire pitch — now reads as secondary to keeping the preferred stock’s dividend obligations funded.

From 'buy and hold forever' to a $11,000 loss per coin—here is the hidden math driving Michael Saylor’s massive strategic pivot. © 24/7 Wall St.

The Selling Spree, By the Numbers

On-chain tracker Lookonchain reported that wallets believed to belong to Strategy transferred 1,030 BTC — worth roughly $66.14 million — on Wednesday. Strategy hasn’t confirmed that specific transaction, but the company routinely discloses weekly transactions in Monday filings, so official confirmation is still pending as of this writing.

Here’s what’s rattling crypto markets: Saylor has said publicly that Strategy’s buying pressure is a meaningful reason bitcoin trades as high as it does. Regular selling flips that dynamic, and investors are reasonably asking whether sustained outflows from the market’s largest corporate holder could weigh on price further.

The sales themselves aren’t flattering, either:

Metric	Figure
Last week’s average sale price	$63,957
Strategy’s average acquisition cost	$75,419
Implied loss per BTC sold	~$11,462 (15.2%)

Selling below cost basis isn’t a sign of confidence. It’s a sign of necessity.

What It Would Take for the Selling to Stop

Here’s the more encouraging data point. The preferred stock’s par value — the benchmark Strategy has tied to resuming bitcoin purchases — bottomed near $70 in June. It closed Friday at $95.18, up 35% from that low, and climbing steadily back toward its $100 par value.

Strategy has indicated it wants STRC back at par before bitcoin buying resumes. Reaching $100 probably won’t flip the switch immediately — the company will likely want to see price stability well above that threshold before committing new capital to Bitcoin again. Granted, that means another disclosed sale next Monday wouldn’t necessarily contradict this thesis. But the trajectory itself — a 35% recovery in roughly two months — is the strongest signal yet that Strategy’s selling pressure has a defined off-ramp, not an open-ended mandate.

Key Takeaway

Strategy’s bitcoin sales aren’t random — they’re funding a specific obligation (STRC dividends) with a specific resolution condition (STRC returning to par value). That condition is 35% closer to being met than it was in June. Investors watching Strategy for signs the selling has run its course should treat the preferred stock’s climb toward $100 — not any single week’s transaction — as the number that actually matters.

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