Bitcoin End Of 2026 Price Odds: Live Market Bands
Prices as of August 9, 2026, 9:14 PM ET — this page rebuilds automatically from live Kalshi market prices throughout the day. A prediction-market price in cents is the market's implied probability: a 34¢ yes price means roughly a 34% chance.
The market right now: Where Bitcoin's price lands at the end of 2026, traded as yes/no price bands. 65,000 to 69,999.99 leads at 14¢ (about a 14% implied chance), with the market set to settle by January 2027.
Live Odds Board
| Outcome | Yes Price (Implied %) | Bid / Ask | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65,000 to 69,999.99 | 14¢ (14%) | 13¢ / 14¢ | — |
| 70,000 to 74,999.99 | 12¢ (12%) | 11¢ / 12¢ | — |
| 60,000 to 64,999.99 | 10¢ (10%) | 10¢ / 10¢ | — |
| 55,000 to 59,999.99 | 8¢ (8%) | 8¢ / 9¢ | — |
| 75,000 to 79,999.99 | 7¢ (7%) | 7¢ / 7¢ | — |
| 50,000 to 54,999.99 | 6¢ (6%) | 6¢ / 6¢ | — |
| 80,000 to 84,999.99 | 6¢ (6%) | 6¢ / 6¢ | — |
| 150,000 or above | 4¢ (4%) | 3¢ / 4¢ | — |
| 40,000 to 44,999.99 | 4¢ (4%) | 3¢ / 4¢ | — |
| 45,000 to 49,999.99 | 4¢ (4%) | 4¢ / 4¢ | — |
| 85,000 to 89,999.99 | 4¢ (4%) | 4¢ / 4¢ | — |
| 19,999.99 or below | 3¢ (3%) | 3¢ / 3¢ | — |
Only outcomes with a live bid or ask are listed; thinner names without a posted market are omitted rather than shown with stale or invented prices. The Move column compares against this page's previous build.
Our Model's Read
Our multi-model panel has published a full verdict on this market — probability estimates, where the models disagree with the market price, and the reasoning: read the bitcoin price end of 2026 model verdict.
The Track Record Behind Our Reads
Every call our model panel makes is logged before markets settle and graded after — 35,772 graded calls on the public ledger as of 2026-08-09, including Gemini (3252 graded calls); GPT (3225 graded calls). No cherry-picking: wins and losses both stay on the record.
How To Read (And Trade) This Market
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market: each outcome trades as a yes/no contract priced 1¢–99¢, and settles at $1.00 if it happens, $0 if it doesn't. The price is the crowd's live probability — an outcome you believe is likelier than its price implies is, in expected-value terms, underpriced. Two practical notes before trading: spreads on longer-dated markets can be wide (check the Bid/Ask column — a big gap means you pay real edge just to enter), and Kalshi charges trading fees that scale with price (how Kalshi fees work).
